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Key Takeaway: Most companies focus on incremental growth — making things 10% better. But truly transformational businesses think 10x. This mindset shift, famously advocated by Larry Page, pushes teams to pursue radical innovation rather than incremental improvements. In a fast-changing world, incremental improvements won’t cut it. Businesses that embrace 10x thinking gain a competitive edge, foster innovation, and inspire teams to achieve more than they thought possible.
For most businesses, growth means improving by 10% each year. It’s safe, predictable, and achievable. But Larry Page, co-founder of Google, famously challenged this mindset, arguing that companies should aim for 10x improvements instead. Thinking 10x forces radical innovation, rather than small, incremental tweaks. It pushes businesses to question the status quo and uncover transformative solutions. And, according to Larry Page, thinking about a 10% improvement costs just as much energy as thinking about a 10x improvement.
Google, SpaceX, and Tesla are prime examples of companies that have embraced this philosophy, redefining industries in the process. Yet, many organizations still hesitate to take this leap. Why? Because bold thinking feels risky — but in reality, it often leads to breakthroughs that incremental thinking never could.
"Given a 10% chance of a 100 times payoff, you should take that bet every time. But you're still going to be wrong 9 times out of 10. If you swing for the fences, you're going to strike out a lot, but you're also going to hit some home runs. The difference between baseball and business, however, is that baseball has a truncated outcome distribution. No matter how well you connect with the ball, the most runs you can get is 4. In business, when you step up to the plate, you can score 1,000 runs. Big winners pay for so many experiments."
— Jeff Bezos
Incremental improvements have their place, but they rarely create market leaders. Here’s why 10x thinking is more powerful:
Take SpaceX, for example. Instead of making existing rockets slightly better, Elon Musk pushed for fully reusable rockets — a once unthinkable goal that has now revolutionized space travel.
Thinking 10x isn’t just for tech giants. Any organization can adopt this mindset by following these steps:
OKRs (Objectives and Key Results) are a great framework for applying 10x thinking because they break ambitious visions into actionable steps. Here’s how they help:
For example, instead of setting a goal to “increase sales by 10%,” a 10x OKR might be “expand into five new markets and double revenue.” While challenging, this forces teams to think beyond the usual playbook.
Thinking 10x isn’t easy, and there are obstacles to overcome:
In a fast-changing world, incremental improvements won’t cut it. Businesses that embrace 10x thinking gain a competitive edge, foster innovation, and inspire teams to achieve more than they thought possible.
Through OKRs and careful strategic planning, every company will benefit from setting bolder goals.
As Larry Page puts it: "If you're not doing some things that are crazy, then you're doing the wrong things."
Are you ready to think 10x?